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The conversion of natural areas for agricultural production and the real estate exploitation has led to a considerable reduction of forest areas in the Atlantic Forest in the last century. In this context, the aim of this study was to evaluate the changes in the forest fragmentation of the Atlantic forest in the city of Caxias do Sul-RS, calibrating a spatial dynamic model for this process and simulating a scenario for the year of To achieve the proposed goal it was used a time series of Landsat 5 satellite images from the years ofandwith topography and soil information data.

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This increase in forest cover in the evaluated area is possibly associated with the rural exodus, more rigorous enforcement of environmental laws and strict enforcement by the environmental agency. This presents relevant information for decision making in relation to the management and monitoring of forest resources.

O melhor ajuste, tanto para F quanto para S, foi nas janelas de varredura maiores, embora os valores do ajuste F para todas as janelas de varredura fossem superiores a 0,9 e, para a similaridade S, apenas para a janela de 1 x 1, o valor ficou abaixo de 0,5.

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Determination of deforestation rates of the world’s humid tropical forests. Spatial statistical analysis of land-use determinants in the Brazilian Amazonia: Ecological Modellingv. Oficina de Textos, Lei Federal no Mapas de cobertura vegetal dos biomas brasileiros. Model goodness of fit: A ferro e fogo: Companhia das Letras, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.

The state of the converfer forests. Electronic Publishing Policy and Support Branch.

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Assessing implications of land-use and land-cover change dynamics for conservation of a highly diverse tropical rain forest. Levantamento arquivod de solos: The vanishing Brazilian Atlantic forest. Biological Conservationv.

Global Land Cover Facility. University of Institute for Advanced Computer Studies, Fuzzy set approach to assessing similarity of categorical maps.

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Journal of Geographical Information Sciencev. Markov models in the study of post-fire succession in healthland communities. Dynamic modeling of forest conversion: Time-lag in biological responses to landscape changes in a highly dynamic Atlantic forest region.

Biology Conservation rao, v. Tropical deforestation and remote sensing. Forest Ecology and Managementv.

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Biodiversity hotspots for conservation priorities. Scientia Forestalisn. Revista Brasileira de Cartografian. Brazilian Journal Biologyv.

Simulating the response convertfr land-cover changes to road paving and governance along a major Amazon highway: Global Change Biologyv. Coupling socioeconomic and demographic dimensions to a spatial simulation model of deforestation for the Brazilian Amazon. Modelling conservation in the Amazon basin. Services on Demand Journal. ABSTRACT The conversion of natural areas for agricultural production and the real estate exploitation has mpg to a considerable reduction of forest areas in the Atlantic Forest in the last century.

Remote Sensing; Cellular automata; Fragmentation.

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